UFC Betting Trends: Middleweight Division

UFC Middleweight 2025 betting: The Under (36-32) is the top trend at +2.6% ROI and +1.77 units across 68 middleweight fights tracked this year.

📊 Moneyline Performance Analysis

Bet Type	Record	Win %	Units	ROI	Result
Favorites	49-19	72.1%	+0.65	+1.0%	Neutral
Underdogs	19-49	27.9%	-14.53	-21.4%	Poor

Favorites in UFC Middleweight won 72.1% of their fights in 2025, posting a 49-19 record across 68 total bouts. Despite this winning percentage, favorites finished with 0.65 units profit at 1.0% return on investment, categorized as neutral performance. Underdogs won 27.9% of fights with a 19-49 record while generating 14.53 units in losses at -21.4% ROI, demonstrating poor performance from a profitability perspective.

🎲 Proposition Betting Analysis

Bet Type	Record	Win %	Units	ROI	Result
Over	32-36	47.1%	-7.97	-11.7%	Negative
Under	36-32	52.9%	+1.77	+2.6%	Neutral
Goes Distance	26-42	38.2%	-3.97	-5.8%	Negative
No Distance	42-26	61.8%	-2.03	-3.0%	Neutral

Proposition betting in Middleweight demonstrated varying performance across different bet types. Over bets finished 32-36 with a win rate of 47.1%, producing 7.97 units in losses at -11.7% ROI (negative performance). Under bets posted 36-32, winning 52.9% of the time while generating 1.77 units with +2.6% ROI (neutral performance). Distance betting went 26-42 for -5.8% ROI (negative performance), while no distance bets posted 42-26 with -3.0% returns (neutral performance).

💡 Performance Summary

This analysis tracked all 68 UFC Middleweight fights throughout 2025, examining every moneyline and major proposition bet outcome. Under demonstrated the strongest performance, returning +2.6% on investment. Favorites won 72.1% of their fights with a 49-19 record while posting 1.0% ROI. Underdogs won 27.9% with a 19-49 record, generating -21.4% ROI. The data illustrates how win percentage and profitability can diverge significantly, with the higher-winning category not necessarily producing superior returns.