UFC Betting Trends: Women’s Bantamweight Division

UFC Women’s Bantamweight 2025 betting: This was an efficient market division. Most core angles hovered near break-even, with no sustained +units trend across 18 fights.

Women’s Bantamweight in 2025 looked playable on the surface. Favorites, Overs, and Distance all cleared 60% win rates, which usually signals stability. The problem was pricing. The market kept these sides tight enough that even “correct” picks could not hold profit over time.

The cleanest read is restraint: this division did not produce a reliable seasonal edge. The fights were not random, but the prices were efficient enough to grind most strategies back toward zero.

⇢ 2025 UFC Betting Trends and Results


UFC Betting Trends: Women’s Bantamweight (2025)

Bet Type Record Win % Profit (Units) ROI Buy / Fade
Favorites 12–6 66.67% -0.28u -1.56% No Edge
Underdogs 6–12 33.33% -1.15u -6.39% Fade
Over 12–6 66.67% -0.53u -2.94% No Edge
Under 6–12 33.33% -1.00u -5.56% Fade
Distance 11–7 61.11% -0.61u -3.39% No Edge
No Distance 7–11 38.89% -0.89u -4.94% Fade
Quick read: Women’s Bantamweight had multiple angles with decent win rates, but pricing pressure erased profit. Coin Flip favorites were the lone clean positive pocket (small sample).

Core Signal

Women’s Bantamweight in 2025 offered very little exploitable edge. Win rates were decent across multiple angles, but pricing efficiency erased profitability.

2025 identity
Efficient Market
Looks Playable
Actually Profitable
Favorites • Over • Distance
61% to 67% win rates
None (long-term)
No sustained +units

This is the definition of a trap division: plenty of “correct” picks, very little reward.

Coin Flip Snapshot

Coin Flip lines were the only place this division showed clean separation. Small sample, but the signal was real.

4 fights
Coin Flip Fav
3–1 (75.00%)
+1.29u
+32.25% ROI
Coin Flip Dog
1–3 (25.00%)
-1.60u
-40.00% ROI

How to Read This Trend

This is the cleanest “hit rate trap” division on the board. Favorites and Overs both won two-thirds of the time, but the average price was tight enough that a handful of full -1 losses dragged the season negative. If you were right often, you still did not get paid enough.

Underdogs did not provide the counter-signal either. There were upset moments, but not enough premium spikes to overcome the baseline loss rate. The takeaway is simple: treat Bantamweight as matchup-driven, not trend-driven.

Value Favorite Wins: The Wins Were Real

These are clean favorite results that look like they should build profit. The issue was not the win rate. The issue was price pressure and a few losses landing at full -1.

Favorite win
Leah Santos over Maria Croden
+0.80u
≈ 1.80 decimal • -125
2025-12-13
Favorite win
Maria Croden over Tainara Lisboa
+0.82u
≈ 1.82 decimal • -122
2025-10-18
Favorite win
Norma Dumont over Ketlen Vieira
+0.64u
≈ 1.64 decimal • -156
2025-11-01
Favorite win
Karla Rosa over Norma Cornolle
+0.67u
≈ 1.67 decimal • -149
2025-08-02

Underdog Swings: Not Enough To Carry

Underdogs did hit in Women’s Bantamweight. The problem is they did not hit often enough, and the division did not deliver enough premium spikes to offset the steady bleed.

Underdog win
Klaudia Sygula over Irina Alekseeva
+2.19u
≈ 3.19 decimal • +219
2025-06-21
Underdog win
Danielle Zheleznyakova over Melissa Mullins
+2.03u
≈ 3.03 decimal • +203
2025-06-21
Underdog win
Marion Rendon over Ailín Pereira
+1.63u
≈ 2.63 decimal • +163
2025-09-13

Betting Takeaway

Based on 2025 results, Women’s Bantamweight should be treated as a pricing discipline test. You can make “good picks” here and still lose if you are paying too much for them. There was no clean seasonal autopilot angle.

If you want a practical hook, the best pocket was the Coin Flip favorite range, but it came on a small sample. Otherwise, this is a matchup-by-matchup division, not a trend division.

For all the latest UFC betting trends, keep it locked to CombatOdds.ca.

Comments are closed.

Website Powered by WordPress.com.

Up ↑