UFC Women’s Strawweight 2025 betting: Favorites (26–7) were the top trend, cashing at a 78.79% rate for +4.45 units (+13.48% ROI) across 33 fights.
UFC Betting Trends: Women’s Strawweight Division
Women’s Strawweight played like a chalk division in 2025. The favorite side was usually priced as the correct side, and the fights backed it up often enough to stay profitable. If you tried to “hunt value” with underdogs here, the results were unforgiving.
The clearest read is simple: this division rewarded bettors who treated win probability as the edge, not payout spikes. Underdog wins were rare, and even the occasional big hit (like +400) did not come close to offsetting the steady stream of -1 losses.
⇢ 2025 UFC Betting Trends and Results
Core Signal
Women’s Strawweight in 2025 was about consistency. Favorites hit at a high clip and stayed positive. Dogs needed multiple premium upsets, but the division did not give enough of them.
This is the trap: a division can feel “live dog-friendly” in isolated moments, but the season math says the opposite.
UFC Betting Trends: Women’s Strawweight (2025)
| Bet Type | Record | Win % | Profit (Units) | Buy / Fade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favorites | 26–7 | 78.79% | +4.45u | Buy |
| Underdogs | 7–26 | 21.21% | -12.29u | Fade |
| Under | 10–23 | 30.30% | +2.02u | Lean |
| Over | 23–10 | 69.70% | +0.72u | Small Edge |
How to Read This Trend
Value Favorite Wins: Why Chalk Worked
These fights show how Strawweight favorites generated repeatable profit. No spikes required, just consistent separation holding.
Women’s Strawweight in 2025 is a reminder that win rate can be the edge when the division is tiered. The favorite cashed often enough to stay profitable, while underdogs did not produce the volume of premium upsets needed to overcome the loss rate.
Totals were not a runaway angle. Overs hit frequently and stayed slightly positive, while the Under side produced profit through a smaller number of bigger payouts. The takeaway is restraint: this division was better for selecting the right side than forcing a totals identity.
Betting Takeaway
Based on 2025 results, Women’s Strawweight was a division where paying for the favorite was justified. If you played underdogs by default, the season punished it. This is the profile of a chalk weight class, not a parity one.
For totals, the edge was smaller and more situational. Overs hit at a high rate but returned only a modest profit, while Unders produced profit through fewer, better-priced hits. The cleanest long-term approach here was treating totals as matchup-dependent, not automatic.
For all the latest UFC betting trends, keep it locked to CombatOdds.ca.
Comabt Odds HQ 