Jake Paul vs Ben Askren Prediction | Triller Fight Club Odds: Jake Paul faces the toughest challenge in his fighting career as he takes on the former ONE FC Welterweight Champion, Ben Askren in a boxing match on Saturday, April 17th, at Triller Fight Club from Atlanta, Georgia.
Jake Paul comes in as the -147 favorite, with Ben Askren coming in as the +150 underdog. Paul is lined at +135 (via 5Dimes) to win ‘Inside the Distance’ and at +575 to win by decision. Meanwhile, ‘Askren to Win by Decision’ is lined at +410. As far as the betting total, the best current line sees the ‘Over 5.5’ at +113, with the Under 5.5 at -121. The betting market expects that the fight will not see the judge’s scorecards, as the ‘Fight Goes the Distance: No’ is sitting at the chalk line of -240.
Jake Paul vs Ben Askren Odds
|Triller Fight Club||Jake Paul||Ben Askren|
|to Win Outright||-147||+150|
|Inside the Distance||+135||+305|
|to Win by Decision||+575||+410|
|Total Rounds||Over 5.5 (+113)||Under 5.5 (-122)|
|Fight Goes Distance||Yes (+180)||No (-240)|
|Where/When||Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta||Sat April 17th | 10:00 PM ET|
Jake Paul will come into this fight with a distinct size advantage. Standing over inches taller than Askren, Jake Paul is 6 feet tall, with a 76-inch reach advantage, while Ben Askren is 5’10, with a 71-inch reach. At 24 years of age, Jake Paul is 12 years younger than Askren, 36, who is coming off a career-altering hip surgery that forced him to retire from MMA. However, he has recently spoken about a possible return to wrestling and other combat sports.
Tale of the Tape: Paul vs Askren
|Combat Sports||Jake Paul||Ben Askren|
|Pro-Record||2-0 (Boxing)||19-2 (MMA)|
|Finish Rate||100% (2 Wins by KO)||64% (6 Wins by T/KO)|
Jake Paul had two professional boxing bouts in 2020. The first was a knock-out win over AnEsonGib, with Paul cashing as the -225 favorite. The second was in November of 2020 against Nate Robinson. Paul knocked out Robinson early in the second round with a devastating overhand haymaker, cashing quickly as the absurdly priced -155 favorite. A $100 bettor who has backed Jake Paul to Win Outright and the ‘Under’ in his two-fight professional boxing career has gone a perfect 4-0 for +$257.
Jake Paul: Betting Trends
|Since 2020 Boxing Debut||Record||Profit (Units)|
|to Win Outright||2-0||+1.09u|
Ben Askren ended his career going 1-2 in the UFC. He won his octagon debut as a -230 favorite against Robbie Lawler. Albeit in controversial fashion, with Lawler disputing the Herb Dean stoppage. Askren then lost to Jorge Masvidal in an iconic UFC moment. Masvidal knocked out Askren with a flying knee, becoming the fastest knockout in UFC history. To make the KO even more spectacular, Masvidal was lined as an almost 2-1 underdog (+190) on the closing line. As Demian Maia choked Askren out early in the third round as a +145 underdog, Askren’s final career MMA fight was another upset loss. Each UFC appearance for Ben Askren saw his fights go ‘Under’ the betting total. Askren is 4-0 to the ‘Under’ in his last 4 fights, including his final appearance in ONE FC in 2017, cashing for +5.54 units profit in that stretch.
Ben Askren: Betting Trends
|Since 2017 MMA (ONE FC/UFC)||Record||Profit (Units)|
|to Win Outright||2-2||-1.51u|
Jake Paul vs Ben Askren Predictions and Betting Odds
From a handicapper’s perspective, this fight has a dog’s breakfast of possibilities, and anyone who claims to have the ‘betting edge’ on this one, is someone who should not be taken seriously. At the end of the day, we are dealing with a plethora of unknowns. We have never seen Ben Askren box, and we’ve also never seen Jake Paul fight a real fighter. Take everything you’ve seen out of either of these men in their previous appearances in combat sports and throw it out the window. This will not be anything similar to any of those encounters.
However, if you are looking for a betting angle in this fight, consider that Askren hasn’t had a professional fight go the distance in over 5 years.
If you were forced to make a play on this fight or found yourself with some kind of free wager, it seems as though the best bet on the board is the Under 5.5 rounds at -122. Both fighters haven’t been to the late rounds of a fight in quite a while, and in Paul’s case, never. If Jake Paul is going to win this fight, he will have to do so in the opening stages. Otherwise, Askren can weaponize his conditioning, and even if his striking isn’t sharp, he can still pitter-patter his way to an easy stoppage against an inexperienced non-fighter.