Jake Paul vs Tyron Woodley Prediction, Odds, and Betting Guide: Jake Paul faces the toughest challenge in his fighting career on Sunday, August 29th from the Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse in Cleveland, Ohio. He takes on the former UFC welterweight champion, Tyron Woodley, who makes his professional boxing debut in an 8-round bout that headlines the Showtime Boxing spectacle.
Jake Paul comes in as the -180 favorite, with Tyron Woodley coming in as the +175 underdog. ‘The Problem Child’ Jake Paul is lined at -110 (via WilliamHill) to win ‘Inside the Distance’ and at +1200 to win by decision. Meanwhile, ‘Woodley to Win by T/KO’ is lined at +190.
As far as the betting total, the best current line sees the ‘Over 3.5’ at +115, with the Under 3.5 at -135. The betting market expects that the fight will not see the judge’s scorecards, as the ‘Fight Goes the Distance: No’ is sitting at the chalk line of -700.
Jake Paul vs Tyron Woodley Odds
|Showtime Boxing||Jake Paul||Tyron Woodley|
|to Win Outright||-190||+175|
|Inside the Distance||-110||+190|
|to Win by Decision||+1200||+2000|
|Total Rounds||Over 3.5 (+115)||Under 3.5 (-135)|
|Fight Goes Distance||Yes (+600)||No (-700)|
|Where/When||RM Field House, Cleveland OH||Sun August 29th | 10 PM ET|
Jake Paul will come into this fight with a slight size advantage, standing three inches taller than Tyron Woodley. Jake Paul is 6 feet tall, with a 76-inch reach, while Woodley is 5’9, with a 74-inch reach. At 24 years of age, Jake Paul is 15 years younger than Woodley, who is 39 and coming off four straight MMA losses, forcing him out of the UFC. However, Woodley has recently set his sights on professional boxing and hopes to kick start his career with a win over the prominent YouTube star turned pro-boxer on Sunday.
Tale of the Tape: Paul vs Woodley
|Tale of the Tape||Jake Paul||Tyron Woodley|
|Pro-Record||3-0 (Boxing)||19-7-1 (MMA)|
|Finish Rate||100% (3 Wins by KO)||63% (7 Wins by T/KO)|
Jake Paul has had three professional boxing bouts since 2020. The first was a knock-out win over AnEsonGib, with Paul cashing as the -225 favorite. The second was in November of 2020 against Nate Robinson. Paul knocked out Robinson early in the second round with a devastating overhand haymaker, cashing quickly as the absurdly priced -155 favorite. The third fight was a stoppage victory over former UFC fighter Ben Askren at a Triller Fight Club event back in April of this year. Paul knocked out Askren just moments into the first round, cashing as a -145 betting favorite.
A $100 bettor who has backed Jake Paul to Win Outright and the ‘Under’ in his three-fight professional boxing career has gone a perfect 6-0 for +$460 profit.
Jake Paul: Betting Trends
|Since 2020 Boxing Debut||Record||Profit (Units)|
|Inside the Distance||3-0||+3.13u|
|to Win Outright||3-0||+1.87u|
Tyron Woodley ended his UFC career with a 9-6-1 record. In over 25 professional fights between Strikeforce and the UFC, Tyron Woodley has only been lined as the betting underdog six times, and holds a 3-2-1 record in those six fights. Tyron Woodley is 4-4-1 in his last nine pro fights, dating back to 2016, with his last two losses coming by way of stoppage. A $100 bettor who has backed the ‘Fight Goes the Distance’ prop in Woodley’s last 9 fights has turned a profit of +$481
Tyron Woodley: Betting Trends
|Since 2016 (UFC)||Record||Profit (Units)|
|Fight Goes Distance||5-4||+4.81u|
|Opponent by Decision||2-7||+0.8u|
|to Win by Decision||2-7||+0.35u|
|Opponent to Win Fight||4-4-1||+0.2u|
Jake Paul vs Tyron Woodley Prediction
From a handicapper’s perspective, this fight has a dog’s breakfast of possibilities, and anyone who claims to have the ‘betting edge’ on this one, is someone who should not be taken seriously. At the end of the day, we are dealing with a plethora of unknowns. We have never seen Tyron Woodley box, and we’ve also never seen Jake Paul hit by a pro fighter in a pro-fight. Take everything you’ve seen out of either of these men in their previous appearances in combat sports and throw it out the window. This will not be anything similar to any of those encounters.
If you’re backing Jake Paul in this match-up, your best bet is to take the ‘Problem Child’ on the ‘Inside the Distance’ prop at -110. If Paul wins this fight, his best opportunity is to end it early. With that in mind, while also considering Jake Paul has never reached the third round of a pro-fight, the ‘Under 3.5 Rounds’ prop on the Paul side at -135 might be worth backing as well.
If you’re backing Tyron Woodley in this fight, your best bet is on the outright moneyline at the juicy plus money price of +175 (via 5Dimes). While Woodley’s most likely path to victory sees him winning by a knockout, there is a very slim chance that this fight reaches the judge’s scorecards. With that in mind, the difference between Woodley +190 by T/KO and Woodley +175 on the moneyline isn’t worth the risk.
That said, Woodley backers may also want to take a sniff at the +115 ‘Over 3.5 Rounds’ prop. Tyron Woodley has gone the distance in 5 of his last 9 pro fights, with all five fights going the distance being five-round MMA main event fights. Woodley has the experience advantage and may look to push the fight into the deep waters.
Jake Paul vs Tyron Woodley Best Bets
Jake Paul vs Tyron Woodley Free Picks
|1% (0.4u)||Woodley/Paul (Fight Goes Distance)||+600||Bet365|
|1% (0.4u)||Baranchyk/Love (Over 8.5 Rounds)||-133||5Dimes|
|1% (0.4u)||Baranchyk/Love (Fight Goes Distance)||+105||5Dimes|
CombatOdds Patreon Boxing Record 7-6, +1.78u