UFC 269 Picks and Best Bets: RIZIN 33 goes down on Friday, December 31st from the Saitama Super Arena in Saitama, Japan.
The final MMA event of the year is headlined by the finals of the RIZIN Bantamweight Grand Prix, with both semi-final bouts taking place early on the evening.
In the first semi-final, Hiromasa Ougikubo comes in as the heavy +250 underdog against Naoki Inoue. In the second semi-final, former RIZIN bantamweight champion Kai Asakura takes on long-shot challenger Kenta Takizawa. Takizawa busted the Grand-Prix bracket back in September, knocking out Yuki Motoya in the first round as a big plus-money underdog. Takizawa hopes to keep the streak alive against the former champion Asakura, who is the heavy favorite to end the night as RIZIN bantamweight champion.
The co-main event of the evening is a RIZIN lightweight championship bout, as title holder Roberto de Souza takes on Seika Izawa. Souza comes in as the steep -650 betting favorite.
Rizin 33 Picks and Betting Guide
While the betting favorite has cashed at an 81% rate over the last two years in RIZIN, the underdog has come through in the RIZIN bantamweight division on a regular basis in that stretch. In fact, three of the last six underdog fighters to cash since the start of 2020, were all in the RIZIN bantamweight division.
Since the start of 2019, the underdog in the bantamweight division has cashed in five of the last twelve bouts with odds posted, turning a profit of +2.84 units on the moneyline in that stretch. The ‘Over’ has cashed in 6 of the last 8 bantamweight bouts with odds posted, dating back to the start of 2020.
RIZIN 33 Best Bets + Full Betting Guide
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RIZIN 33 Free Picks
|1.5%||Kazuma Sone +405 (5Dimes)|
|1.5%||Yuto Hokamura +175 (BetWay)|
|1.5%||Kenta Takizawa +500 (BetOnline)|
|1.5%||Hiromasa Ougikubo +250 (BetWay)|
|1.0%||Si Woo Park +1100 (5Dimes)|
|1.0%||Hideki Sekine +475 (BetOnline)|
|1.0%||Hiroaki Suzuki -105 (5Dimes)|
@AlMacOdds MMA Record Since 2020: 938-895, +30.43u
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