RIZIN 33 Results and Closing Odds: RIZIN 33 went down on Friday, December 31st from the Saitama Super Arena in Saitama, Japan.
The event was headlined by the semi-finals and subsequent finals of the RIZIN bantamweight Grand-Prix.
The co-main event was a RIZIN lightweight championship bout, as Roberto de Souza defended his lightweight gold against Yusuke Yachi. Souza defeated Yachi by second-round submission, cashing as the -700 betting favorite.
Kai Asakura cashed as the -450 betting favorite over Kenta Takizawa to advance to the tournament finals. Meanwhile, Hiromasa Ougikube pulled off the upset in the other semi-final, defeating Naoki Inoue by way of decision, and cashing as the +250 underdog.
The Hiromasa Ougikubo advanced to the tournament finals to take on preeminent tournament favorite Kai Asakura. Ougikubo pulled off yet another upset, defeating Asakura by way of decision to win the Rizin Bantamweight Grand Prix Finals and capture the RIZIN bantamweight gold.
The biggest underdog on the card was Si Woo Park, who defeated Rena Kubota by way of decision, cashing as the +1275 long-shot underdog.
RIZIN 33 Results and Betting Trends
|RIZIN 33||Record||Profit (Units)|
|Coin Flip Favorite||2-0||+1.6u|
|Coin Flip Dog||0-2||-2u|
While the betting favorite cashed in 7 of the 11 fights on the card, it was the underdog that was the story of RIZIN 33. With four outright upsets, the underdog turned a profit of +15 units on the moneyline at RIZIN 33. In fact, when counting Hiromasa Ougikubo’s upset win in the tournament finals in the equation, more underdogs won at RIZIN 33 (5) than in all previous RIZIN events over the last two years combined (6).
RIZIN 2021 Betting Trends
|RIZIN 2021||Record||Profit (Units)|
|‘Coin Flip’ Favorite||3-0||+2.29u|
|‘Coin Flip’ Dog||0-3||-3u|
While the underdog staked it’s claim as the most profitable trend to back in JMMA after RIZIN 33, the ‘Over’ was consistently the most probable RIZIN betting trend in 2021.
Of the 20 RIZIN MMA bouts with odds posted in 2021, 17 of them went ‘Over’ the betting total. A $100 bettor who flat bet the ‘Over’ in every available RIZIN MMA bout went 17-3 for a profit of +$920, a win rate of 85%, and an ROI of +$46 per wager, win or lose.
Another stand-out RIZIN betting trend in 2021 was the ‘coin flip favorite,’ which went a perfect 3-0 for +2.29 units profit. Any favorite lined at average market odds of -150 or better went undefeated in RIZIN in 2021.
Roberto de Souza def. Yusuke Yachi
via 2nd-Round Submission
|Fight Starts Round 2: Yes (+148)|
Roberto de Souza cashed as the -700 betting favorite over Yusuke Yachi at RIZIN 33, retaining his RIZIN lightweight championship. With the win, the favorite in the RIZIN lightweight division improves to 9-1 across the 10 lightweight bouts with odds posted since 2019. A $100 bettor who has backed the favorite at lightweight in that stretch has turned a profit of +$349.
Mikuru Asakura def. Yutaka Saito
via Unanimous Decision
|Fight Goes Distance: Yes (-175)|
Mikuru Asakura cashed as the -140 betting favorite over Yutaka Saito at RIZIN 33 by way of unanimous decision. With the win, the favorite in the RIZIN featherweight division improves to 4-1 in the last 5 bouts with odds posted, dating back to 2019.
Meanwhile, the ‘Over’ has gone a perfect 5-0 in that stretch, with a $100 bettor who has backed the Over in every RIZIN featherweight bout available since 2019 turning a profit of +$283.
Si Woo Park def. Rena Kubota
via Unanimous Decision
|Fight Goes Distance: Yes (-150)|
Si Woo Park cashed as the massive +1275 underdog over Rena Kubota at RIZIN 33, coming in as the biggest long shot dog of the event. With the win, the underdog in the RIZIN women’s super atomweight division has now won 3 of the last 7 bouts with odds posted, dating back to 2019.
A $100 bettor who has backed the underdog in each available atomweight bout in that stretch has turned a profit of +$1266, an ROI of +$180 per wager, win or lose.
Hideki Sekine def. Shoma Shibisai
by 2nd-Round TKO
|Fight Starts Round 2: Yes (+149)|
Hideki Sekine cashes as the heavy +375 underdog with a second-round TKO victory over Shoma Shibisai at RIZIN 33. With the win, the underdog has now won 2 of the last 5 RIZIN heavyweights bout with odds posted, dating back to 2019. A $100 bettor who has backed the heavyweight underdog in that stretch has turned a profit of +$250
RIZIN Bantamweight Grand-Prix Semi-Finals
Kai Asakura (-450) def. Kenta Takizawa | Fight Starts Round 2: Yes (-154)
Hiromasa Ougikubo (+250) def. Naoki Inoue | Fight Starts Round 3: Yes (-180)
In conclusion of the RIZIN bantamweight Grand-Prix, the ‘Over’ improves to 10-2 across the 12 RIZIN bantamweight bouts with odds posted, dating back to the start of 2020. A $100 bettor who has backed the “Over’ in each available bout in that stretch has turned a profit of +$404.
Meanwhile, the underdog has staked it’s own claim in the RIZIN bantamweight division, having won 6 of the last 16 bantamweight bouts with odds posted since 2019, and 4 of the last 12 since the start of 2020.
Full RIZIN 33 Results
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