Conor McGregor comes in as the betting underdog for the first time since losing to Khabib Nurmagomedov back in 2018. The ‘Notorious’ McGregor is 9-3 in his last 12 UFC appearances, with all 3 of his UFC losses coming by way of stoppage.
Dustin ‘the Diamond’ Poirier is 15-5-1 in his last 21 UFC appearances, with 10 of his last 15 wins having come by way of stoppage. Poirier cashed as a heavy 2-1 underdog in the rematch back at UFC 257 in January, but will now come in as the -130 chalk favorite in one of the biggest trilogy bouts in UFC history.
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The co-main event at UFC 264 sees Gilbert Burns as a +135 underdog, looking to bounce back from his most recent loss to welterweight champion Kamaru Usman, taking on the -155 betting favorite Stephen ‘Wonderboy’ Thompson.
Gilbert Burns is 12-4 in his UFC career, with 5 of his 12 UFC wins coming by way of the judge’s scorecards. Wonderboy is 8-3-1 in his last 12 octagon appearances, with 5 of his last 8 wins also coming by way of decision. The two square off in a welterweight bout that will ensure the winner stays within striking range of the champion, holding their ranking among the top 5 in the division.
Who is the Biggest Favorite at UFC 264?
‘Suga’ Sean O’Malley comes in as the biggest favorite on the card at UFC 264, currently lined as the -800 favorite against UFC newcomer Kris Moutinho. O’Malley was forced to find a new opponent, after Louis Smolka pulled out of the fight due to a staph infection. Moutinho comes in on just 10 days notice, and is just 9-4 in his professional MMA career.
UFC 264 Predictions: Look Ahead Spot
Irene Aldana opened as the short betting favorite against Yana Kunitskaya at UFC 264, but the odds have now moved to a near pick’em. Since making her 2018 UFC debut, Yana Kunitskaya has a 4-2 record in the UFC, with all 4 wins coming by way of decision. Irene Aldana is 5-4 in the UFC, since making her debut in 2016. All 4 of Aldana’s losses have come by way of decision.
UFC 264 Odds
|UFC 264||Saturday, July 10th||Odds via 5Dimes|
|Lightweight||Dustin Poirier -130||Conor McGregor +110|
|Welterweight||Gilbert Burns +135||Stephen Thompson -155|
|Heavyweight||Tai Tuivasa -130||Greg Hardy +110|
|Women’s Bantamweight||Irene Aldana -120||Yana Kunitskaya +100|
|Men’s Bantamweight||Sean O’Malley -800||Kris Moutinho +550|
|Welterweight||Carlos Condit +160||Max Griffin -185|
|Welterweight||Niko Price +135||Michel Pereira -155|
|Middleweight||Dircus du Plessis -110||Trevin Giles -110|
|Men’s Featherweight||Ryan Hall +190||Ilia Topuria -230|
|Women’s Flyweight||Jessica Eye +155||Jennifer Maia -175|
|Middleweight||Omari Akhmedov +135||Brad Tavares -155|
|Men’s Flyweight||Zhalgas Zhumagulov -310||Jerome Rivera +255|
|Middleweight||Alen Amedovski -135||Hu Yaozong +115|
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