UFC 268 Results and Closing Odds: UFC 268 went down from Madison Square Garden in New York City on Saturday, November 6th.
The event was headlined by a UFC welterweight championship rematch between Kamaru Usman and Colby Covington.
Kamaru Usman picked up the unanimous decision victory over Colby Covington, cashing as the strong betting favorite.
The co-main event saw a UFC women’s strawweight championship rematch between two-time champ Rose Namajunas and former champ Weili Zhang.
The feature bout of the night kicked off the main card and saw Justin Gaethje take on Michael Chandler. Gaethje picked up the win in an impressive unanimous decision victory.
Three fighters on the card cashed as -400 favorites or higher, as Melsik Baghdasaryan, Dustin Jacoby and Ian Garry all cashed as 4-1 betting favorites.
UFC 268 Results and Betting Trends
| UFC 268 | Record | Profit (Units) |
|---|---|---|
| Favorites | 11-3 | +2.34u |
| Dogs | 3-11 | -6.08u |
| Over | 8-6 | +1.54u |
| Under | 6-8 | +0.17u |
| Fight Goes Distance: Yes | 7-7 | +3.67u |
| Fight Goes Distance: No | 7-7 | +0.22u |
| Coin Flip Favorite | 2-2 | -0.47u |
| Coin Flip Dog | 2-2 | +0.17u |
The betting favorite cashed in 11 of the 14 fights on the card, turning a profit of +2.34 units on the moneyline on the night. Meanwhile, the ‘Over’ cashed in 8 of 14 fights on the night, turning a profit of +1.54 units.
UFC 268 Betting Trends
| Since 2021 | Record | Profit (Units) |
|---|---|---|
| Favorites | 290-146-10 | +0.04u |
| Dogs | 146-290-10 | -6.08u |
| Over | 271-171-5 | +17.78u |
| Under | 171-271-5 | -55.13u |
| Fight Goes Distance: Yes | 232-210-5 | +34.12u |
| Fight Goes Distance: No | 210-232-5 | -33.92u |
| ‘Coin Flip’ Favorite | 75-60-5 | -3.61u |
| ‘Coin Flip’ Dog | 60-75-5 | -5.54u |
The distance prop split straight down the middle with 7 of 14 fights ending inside the distance. With that, the ‘Fight Goes the Distance’ prop remains the most profitable prop of the year, with a record of 232-210-5 for a profit of +34.12 units since the start of 2021, across every UFC fight this year.
Kamaru Usman def. Colby Covington
| Result | Method Prop | Total Rounds | Distance Prop |
|---|---|---|---|
| Usman (-265) via Unanimous Decision | Usman by Decision (+225) | Over 4.5 (-105) | Fight Goes Distance: Yes (+125) |
Kamaru Usman defeats Colby Covington by way of unanimous decision at UFC 268, cashing as the -265 favorite, and improves to 15-0 since making his 2015 debut. With the win, a $100 bettor who has backed ‘to Win by Decision’ has turned a profit of +$1025 in that stretch.
Rose Namajunas def. Zhang Weili
| Result | Method Prop | Total Rounds | Distance Prop |
|---|---|---|---|
| Namajunas (+105) via Split-Decision | Namajunas by Decision (+350) | Over 4.5 (+125) | Fight Goes Distance: Yes (+120) |
Rose Namajunas picks up the split-decision victory over Weili Zhang at UFC 268, cashing as the +105 underdog. With the win, Rose improves to 9-3 since her 2014 UFC debut. A $100 bettor who has backed Namajunas on the moneyline in that stretch has turned a profit of +$1055
Marlon Vera def. Frankie Edgar
| Result | Method Prop | Total Rounds | Distance Prop |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vera (-146) via 3rd Round KO (font kick) | Vera by T/KO (+300) Inside the Distance (+220) | Over 2.5 (-175) | Fight Goes Distance: No (+135) |
Marlon Vera cashed as the -146 betting favorite over Frankie Edgar with a 3rd round knock out. With the win, Vera improves to 8-3 since his 2018 UFC debut. With that, a $100 bettor who has backed Vera on the ‘Inside the Distance’ prop in his last 11 fights has turned a profit of +$849.
Shane Burgos def. Billy Quarantillo
| Result | Method Prop | Total Rounds | Distance Prop |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burgos (-157) via Unanimous Decision | Burgos by Decision (+187) | Over 2.5 (-135) | Fight Goes Distance: Yes (+250) |
Shane Burgos picks up the win and improves to 6-3 since making his 2017 UFC debut. With that, a $100 better who has backed Burgos by Decision in each fight in his UFC career, has turned a profit of +$547.
Justin Gaethje def. Michael Chandler
| Result | Method Prop | Total Rounds | Distance Prop |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gaethje (-204) via Unanimous Decision | Gaethje by Decision (+550) | Over 1.5 (-105) | Fight Goes Distance: Yes (+250) |
Justin Gaethje picks up his first decision win in the UFC over Michael Chandler at #UFC268, cashing as the -200 betting favorite. With the win, a $100 bettor who has backed Justin Gaethje on the moneyline since his 2017 UFC debut has turned a profit of +$379.
UFC 268 Prelim Results
Alex Pereira (-256) def. Andreas Michailidis via R2 TKO (flying knee and punches)
Bobby Green (-185) def. Al Iaquinta via R1 TKO (punches)
Chris Curtis (+285) def. Phil Hawes via R1 TKO (punches)
Nassourdine Imavov (-118) def. Edmen Shahbazyan R2 via TKO (elbows)
Ian Garry (-400) def. Jordan Williams via R1 KO (punches)
Chris Barnett (+112) def. Gian Villante via R2 TKO (spinning wheel kick and punches)
Dustin Jacoby (-370) def. John Allan via UD
Melsik Baghdasaryan (-360) def. Bruno Souza via UD
Ode’ Osbourne (-184) def. CJ Vergara via UD
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