UFC Vegas 27 Results and Closing Odds: Podcast Version
UFC Vegas 27 went down on Saturday, May 22nd from the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada.
The event was headlined by the former UFC Men’s Bantamweight champion Cody ‘No Love’ Garbrandt, as he dropped a unanimous decision to the rising Rob Font in a battle between two top 5 UFC 135lbs fighters.
Coming into the main event, Garbrandt had gone ‘Under’ the betting total in 7 of his last 8 UFC bouts, while Font has won 5 of his last 10 fights by way of stoppage. The total in this five-round main event was lined at 2.5 rounds, with the ‘Under’ closing at around -130. Font won the fight by decision, cashing as a -120 favorite.
The most profitable prop to back on the night was once again the ‘Fight Goes the Distance’ prop, that ended the night going 8-4 for +6.5 units profit. With that, the prop has now gone 112-92-2 for +19.8 units profit since the start of 2021, making it the most profitable betting prop in the UFC this year.
UFC Vegas 27 Results and Betting Trends
| UFC Vegas 27 | Record | Profit (Units) |
|---|---|---|
| Favorites | 7-5 | -2.2u |
| Dogs | 5-7 | -0.63u |
| Over | 8-4 | +1.13u |
| Under | 4-8 | -1.61u |
| Fight Goes Distance: Yes | 8-4 | +6.5u |
| Fight Goes Distance: No | 4-8 | -3.6u |
| Coin Flip Favorite | 2-3 | -1.52u |
| Coin Flip Dog | 3-2 | +1.18u |
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UFC 2021 Betting Trends
| Since 2021 | Record | Profit (Units) |
|---|---|---|
| Favorites | 128-74-4 | -10.68u |
| Dogs | 74-128-4 | -9.45u |
| Over | 128-76-2 | +6.28u |
| Under | 76-128-2 | -33.77u |
| Fight Goes Distance: Yes | 112-92-2 | +19.8u |
| Fight Goes Distance: No | 92-112-2 | -25.78u |
Rob Font def. Cody Garbrandt
| Result | Method Prop | Total Rounds | Distance Prop |
|---|---|---|---|
| Font (-120) via Unanimous Decision | Font by Decision (+550) | Over 2.5 (+112) | Fight Goes Distance: Yes (+275) |
With the victory, Rob Font cashes at -120, and has now gone 8-3 in his last 11 UFC appearances, turning a profit of +3.33 units on the moneyline in that stretch.
Carla Esparza def. Yan Xiaonan
| Result | Method Prop | Total Rounds | Distance Prop |
|---|---|---|---|
| Esparza (+110) via 2nd Round T/KO (elbows) | Esparza by T/KO (+1450), Inside the Distance (+700) | Under 2.5 (+345) | Fight Goes Distance: No (+255) |
With the victory, Carla Esparza cashes as the +110 underdog, and has now gone 9-4 in the UFC, turning a profit of +6.8 units on the moneyline since her UFC debut back in 2014.
Jared Vanderaa def. Justin Tafa
| Result | Method Prop | Total Rounds | Distance Prop |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderaa (+170) via Unanimous Decision | Vanderaa by Decision (+550) | Over 2.5 (+175) | Fight Goes Distance: Yes (+240) |
With Jared Vanderaa cashing at +160, the Underdog in the UFC Heavyweight division has now gone 24-36 for +2.07 units profit, dating back to January 2020.
Norma Dumont def. Felicia Spencer
| Result | Method Prop | Total Rounds | Distance Prop |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dumont +185 via Split Decision | Dumont by Decision (+300) | Over 2.5 (-170) | Fight Goes Distance: Yes (-150) |
With the victory, Norma Dumont cashes as a +185 underodg. She is just the 5th underdog to win a UFC Women’s Featherweight bout over the last four years, and is just the 8th fight in that stretch to go ‘Over’ the betting total in the Women’s 145lbs division.
Ricardo Ramos def. Bill Algeo
| Result | Method Prop | Total Rounds | Distance Prop |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ramos +147 via Unanimous Decision | Ramos by Decision (+270) | Over 2.5 (-172) | Fight Goes Distance: Yes (-155) |
With this Ramos/Algeo fight going ‘Over’, it is the 59th fight in the UFC Men’s Featherweight division to reach beyond the betting total. Going 59-22 for +20.3 units profit since the start of 2020.
Jack Hermansson def. Edmen Shahbazyan
| Result | Method Prop | Total Rounds | Distance Prop |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hermansson -129 via Unanimous Decision | Hermansson by Decision (+450) | Over 2.5 (+140) | Fight Goes Distance: Yes (+200) |
With the victory, Jack Hermansson cashes as a -129 favorite, he is now 9-4 in the UFC for +3.96 units on the moneyline, since making his UFC debut back in 2016.
UFC Vegas 27 Prelim Results and Closing Odds
Ben Rothwell (-333) def. Chris Barnett (+312): R2 Submission (guillotine choke)
Court McGee (+108) def. Cláudio Silva (-110): Decision (unanimous)
Bruno Gustavo da Silva (-346) def. Victor Rodriguez (+350): R1 KO (punches)
Joshua Culibao (-229) def. Shayilan Nuerdanbieke (+215): Decision (unanimous)
David Dvořák (-450) def. Juancamilo Ronderos (+520): R1 Submission (rear-naked choke)
Damir Ismagulov (-485) def. Rafael Alves (+460): Decision (unanimous)
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