Both fighters are coming off of respective losses and will look to bounce back and make a move in a division that is wide open outside of the top five.
Coming into the event, Rozenstruik has won 5 of his 7 octagon appearances by way of stoppage, going 5-2 for +4.43 units profit on the ‘Inside the Distance’ prop. Meanwhile, Augusto Sakai is 4-1 in the octagon since his 2018 UFC debut, turning a marginal profit of +1.93 units on the moneyline in that stretch. Sakai has split his wins between stoppages and decisions, with two apiece, and his only stoppage loss coming in his last appearance against the now-defunct UFC heavyweight, Alistair Overeem.
⇢ UFC Betting Trends
The current UFC Vegas 28 odds see Rozenstruik as a slight -115 favorite to Sakai who comes in as a short +108 underdog, making it the 18th ‘coin flip’ bout in the UFC heavyweight division over the last year and a half. The underdog has won 11 of the last 17 ‘coin flip’ bouts in the heavyweight division, going 11-6 for +4.96 units profit, since January of 2020.
UFC VEGAS 28 ODDS
| Augusto Sakai +105 | Jairzinho Rozenstruik -117 |
| Marcin Tybura -162 | Walt Harris +148 |
| Miguel Baeza -115 | Santiago Ponzinibbio +113 |
| Laureano Staropoli +125 | Roman Dolidze -137 |
| Antonio Arroyo +211 | Tom Breese -239 |
| Kamuela Kirk +229 | Makwan Amirkhani -271 |
| Dusko Todorovic -152 | Gregory Rodrigues +140 |
| Ilir Latifi +174 | Tanner Boser -185 |
| Ariane Lipski +235 | Montana de La Rosa -210 |
| Manon Fiorot -155 | Maryna Moroz +148 |
| Sean Woodson -170 | Youssef Zalal +169 |
| Alan Patrick +252 | Mason Jones -283 |
| Francisco Trinaldo +225 | Muslim Salikhov -233 |
| Claudio Puelles +180 | Jordan Leavitt -190 |
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