UFC Vegas 31 Results and Closing Odds: UFC Vegas 31 went down on July 17th from the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. The event was headlined by a lightweight match-up between the #9 ranked Islam Makhachev and #14 ranked Thiago Moises. Makhachev is riding a seven-fight winning streak and comes in as the colossal -600 favorite against the Brazilian Moises.
Islam Makhachev picked up the victory with a fourth-round submission, cashing at +145 to ‘win Inside the Distance.’
The co-main event featured the return of the former Strikeforce and UFC Women’s Bantamweight champion Miesha Tate. Tate came in as a slight favorite against the 44-year-old Marion Reneau.
Miesha Tate returned to the Octagon with a third-round TKO victory over Reneau, cashing as the -155 favorite, and at +450 to win ‘Inside the Distance.’
UFC Vegas 31 Results and Betting Trends
| UFC Vegas 31 | Record | Profit (Units) |
|---|---|---|
| Favorites | 7-3 | -0.77u |
| Dogs | 3-7 | -2.1u |
| Over | 4-6 | -2.89u |
| Under | 6-4 | +2.73u |
| Fight Goes Distance: Yes | 2-8 | -5.68u |
| Fight Goes Distance: No | 8-2 | +5.68u |
| Coin Flip Favorite | 0-1 | -1u |
| Coin Flip Dog | 1-0 | +1.18 |
The favorite dominated UFC Vegas 31, with 7 of the 10 fights on the card won by the chalk fighter, although failed to turn a profit.
UFC 2021 Betting Trends
| Since 2021 | Record | Profit (Units) |
|---|---|---|
| Favorites | 171-93-6 | -6.06u |
| Dogs | 93-171-6 | -24.58u |
| Over | 167-99-4 | +10.43u |
| Under | 99-167-4 | -48.22u |
| Fight Goes Distance: Yes | 147-119-4 | +27.95u |
| Fight Goes Distance: No | 119-147-4 | -37u |
While the ‘Fight Goes the Distance’ prop has been the most profitable one of the year so far, the ‘No’ prop at UFC Vegas 31 was red hot. With only two of the ten fights on the card reaches the scorecards, the ‘Fight Goes the Distance: No’ prop went 8-2 for +5.68 units profit.
Islam Makhachev def. Thiago Moisés
| Result | Method Prop | Total Rounds | Distance Prop |
|---|---|---|---|
| Makhachev (-605) via 4th Round Submission | Makhachev by Submission (+380), Inside the Distance (+145) | Under 4.5 (+120) | Fight Goes Distance: No (+105) |
Islam Makhachev cashes as the colossal betting favorite over Thiago Moises. With the stoppage victory, Makhachev is now 9-1 since his 2015 debut, with 5 of his 9 wins coming by way of stoppage.
A $100 bettor who has bet on Islam Makhachev to win ‘Inside the Distance’ in each of his 10 UFC appearances has gone 5-5 for +$373 profit.
Miesha Tate def. Marion Reneau
| Result | Method Prop | Total Rounds | Distance Prop |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tate (-155) via 3rd Round T/KO | Tate by T/KO (+138), Inside the Distance (+450) | Under 2.5 (+250) | Fight Goes Distance: No (+200) |
Miesha Tate cashes as the -155 favorite over Marion Reneau by way of a third-round TKO. With the win, Miesha Tate returns to the Octagon with a victory for the first time in over five years.
Tate improves to 6-4 since making her UFC debut in 2013 and has turned a profit of +2.3 units on the moneyline in that stretch.
Mateusz Gamrot def. Jeremy Stephens
| Result | Method Prop | Total Rounds | Distance Prop |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamrot (-225) via 1st Round Submission | Gamrot Submission (+1100), Inside the Distance (+175) | Under 2.5 (+112) | Fight Goes Distance: No (-115) |
Mateusz Gamrot cashes as the -220 favorite over Jeremy Stephens, cashing at +175 to win ‘Inside the Distance.’
A $100 bettor who has backed Jeremy Stephens’ opponent to win ‘Inside the Distance’ in each of his last 10 UFC appearances has profited +$353, going 3-6 (1 NC).
Rodolfo Vieira def. Dustin Stoltzfus
| Result | Method Prop | Total Rounds | Distance Prop |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vieira (-200) via 3rd Round Submission | Vieira by Submission (+100), Inside the Distance (-120) | Over 1.5 (-112) | Fight Goes Distance: No (-250) |
Rodolfo Vieira cashes as the -200 favorite over Dustin Stoltzfus with the third-round submission victory. With the win, Vieira improves to 3-1 in the UFC, with all 3 of his wins coming by way of stoppage.
A $100 bettor who has backed Rodolfo Vieira to win ‘Inside the Distance’ in each of his UFC appearances has gone 3-1 for +$85 profit.
Billy Quarantillo def. Gabriel Benítez
| Result | Method Prop | Total Rounds | Distance Prop |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quarantillo (+142) by 3rd round T/KO | Quarantillo by T/KO (+800), Inside the Distance (+375) | Over 2.5 (-147) | Fight Goes Distance: No (+120) |
Billy Quarantillo cashes as a +142 underdog over Gabriel Benitez, and at +375 to win ‘Inside the Distance.’ With the victory, a $100 bettor who has back Billy Q ‘Inside the Distance,’ in each of his last six fights has gone 4-2 for +$840 profit.
With the victory, a $100 bettor who has backed Billy Quarantillo to win ‘Inside the Distance,’ in each of his last six fights has gone 4-2 for +$840 profit.
UFC Vegas 31 Prelim Results
Daniel Rodriguez (-345) def. Preston Parsons (+264) via R1 TKO (punches)
Amanda Lemos (-588) def. Montserrat Ruiz (+399) via R1 TKO (punches)
Sergey Morozov (+118) def. Khalid Taha (-147) via Decision (unanimous)
Malcolm Gordon (+242) def. Francisco Figueiredo (-323) via Decision (unanimous)
Rodrigo Nascimento (-357) def. Alan Baudot (+270) via R2 TKO (punches)
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