UFC Vegas 35 Picks and Best Bets: UFC Vegas 35 goes down on Saturday, August 28th from the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada.
The event is headlined by a men’s featherweight bout between UFC veteran Edson ‘Junior’ Barboza, as he takes on the red hot Georgian prospect, No. 10 ranked Giga Chikadze.
⇢ UFC Vegas 35 Betting Trends
Edson Barboza vs. Giga Chikadze: UFC Vegas 35 Picks
⇢ Full UFC Vegas 35 Betting Odds
Edson Barboza comes in as the slight betting favorite over Giga Chikadze in the main event of UFC Vegas 35. Barboza is 4-5 in his last 9 fights dating back to 2017, with 3 of his last 4 wins coming by way of stoppage. He has had a career resurgence since moving down a weight class to featherweight and puts that momentum on the line against the streaking Georgian, Chikadze.
Giga Chikadze is 13-2 as a pro and holds a 6-0 record since his 2019 UFC debut. Chikadze has won 4 of his 6 UFC appearances by way of decision, turning a profit of +10.58 units on the ‘to Win by Decision’ prop so far in his UFC career.
Considering the ‘coin-flip’ nature of this fight, there is almost no argument to be had against betting either side in this match-up. If you’re backing Chikadze in this fight, you probably can make a case for betting the ‘Under,’ as Chikadze will likely have to push the pace and pressure to be able to weather the storm against the high striking IQ of Barboza. On the other hand, if you’re backing Barboza in this match-up, your best bet is definitely on the outright moneyline. Still, there is a slight chance that the Georgian can push this fight into the later rounds to solidify himself as a potential future title challenger.
While Chikadze has two stoppage wins to his name in the UFC, it is far more likely that Chikadze takes the scenic route in this match-up, giving Barboza the respect that is due and edges him out in a five-round point fight. However, Chikadze has notoriously fallen off a cliff in the later rounds of fights, and comes in against one of the best-conditioned fighters in this division in Barboza.
Kevin Lee vs. Daniel Rodriguez: UFC Vegas 35 Picks
Kevin Lee returns to welterweight on Saturday at UFC Vegas 35, as he takes on Daniel Rodriguez, who steps in on short notice to replace Sean Brady.
Lee is 18-6 as a pro, but is just 4-4 in his last 8 UFC appearances, with 7 of his last 8 fights ending by way of stoppage.
Meanwhile, Daniel Rodriguez is 15-2 as a pro, with his one UFC loss coming controversially by way of a split decision against Nicolas Dalby last year. Rodriguez is 5-1 in the UFC, with 3 of his 5 wins coming by way of stoppage. A $100 bettor who has backed D-Rod on the ‘Inside the Distance’ prop has turned a profit of +$497 so far in his 2020 UFC debut.
If you’re backing Kevin Lee in this fight, the best way to do so is likely on the ‘Inside the Distance’ prop. Lee is the smaller fighter in this match-up, and with the striking edge going to Rodriguez, Lee’s only hope at winning this fight is likely by snatching a submission early on. Otherwise, if you’re backing Rodriguez in this fight, the plus-money on the outright moneyline is worth settling for. While Rodriguez has finishing power in his hands, he’s fighting a well-known opponent on short notice and may have a cautionary game plan coming in.
Rather than picking your poison with the method of victory prop, you are betting off taking the ‘Under 2.5 Rounds’ prop at +114 (via FanDuel), as both fighters have a realistic chance at ending things before the judges get involved.
Makhmud Muradov vs. Gerald Meerschaert: UFC Vegas 35 Picks
Geral Meerschaert comes in as the heavy +450 underdog against Makmud Muradov on Saturday at UFC Vegas 35. Meerschaert is 32-14 as a pro but holds a 4-5 record in his last 9 UFC appearances, albeit each of his last 4 wins have come by way of submission.
Makhmud Muradov is 25-6, and comes in with a 3-0 record since making his 2019 UFC debut.
If you’re backing Muradov in this match-up, your best bet is on the ‘Inside the Distance’ prop at -150 (via 5Dimes). While Muradov does have 2 stoppage wins to his name in the UFC, all 3 of his octagon appearances have gone ‘Over’ the betting total. With that said, if you’re backing the Uzbekistani in this spot, steer clear of the ‘Under 1.5 rounds’ prop, as Muradov is live for a late-round stoppage.
If you’re backing Meerschaert in this match-up, you can’t go wrong with the +450 moneyline. Of Meerschaert’s last 4 UFC wins, each has come as the betting underdog. A $100 bettor who has backed Meerschaert on the ‘Inside the Distance’ prop since 2018 has turned a profit of +$465 in that stretch.
Alessio Di Chirico vs. Abdul Razak Alhassan: UFC Vegas 35 Picks
Alessio de Chirico comes in as the -225 betting favorite over Abdul Razak Alhassan on Saturday at UFC Vegas 35. de Chirico is coming off an impressive stoppage win over Joaquin Buckley earlier this year and finds himself matched up with another heavy power puncher in Razak-Alhassan.
De Chirico is 13-5 as a pro but is just 5-4 since making his 2016 UFC debut, with all 4 losses coming by way of decision.
Meanwhile, Abdul Razak Alhassan is riding a three-fighting losing streak and is just 4-4 in the UFC, with 3 of his 4 losses coming by way of decision.
If you’re backing Alhassan in this fight, your best bet is on the outright moneyline. While Alhassan has stopping power in his hands, de Chirico has never been knocked out in his UFC career, with his only stoppage loss coming by way of submission.
If you’re backing de Chirico in this spot, you’re better off steering clear of the method prop and parlaying the Italian up with another favorite on the card. While de Chirico has had a knack for going the distance, he is coming off a knockout win over a similar match-up with Joaquin Buckley. While you may want to prop up the Italian by betting him to get the decision, you run the risk of de Chirico making short work of a fighter that has shown to be vulnerable at times on numerous occasions.
Sam Alvey vs. Wellington Turman: UFC Vegas 35 Picks
Wellington Turman comes in as the -130 betting favorite over Sam Alvey at UFC Vegas 35 on Saturday. As a pro, Turman is 16-5 but holds a 1-3 record since making his UFC debut back in 2019. Meanwhile, Sam Alvey is winless in his last 6 UFC appearances and has a 2-5-1 record dating back to 2018.
If you’re backing Sam Alvey in this match-up. Your best bet is to take the outright moneyline at +116 (via FanDuel). While Turman has lost by stoppage in 2 of his 4 UFC appearances, Sam Alvey has managed to go the distance in 4 of his last 8 fights. While some Alvey backers may be swayed towards the stoppage prop, you run the risk of getting middled by the possibility of another Alvey fight going the distance.
If you’re backing Wellington Turman in this fight, keep it simple and bet the moneyline. Sam Alvey has been a revolving door of stoppages as of late, but as mentioned, he has shown a knack for going the total 15-minute distance. With that in mind, don’t overcomplicate things. Take the moneyline on the younger athlete with more fight in him in this spot.
Dustin Jacoby vs. Darren Stewart: UFC Vegas 35 Picks
Dustin Jacoby comes in as the -170 betting favorite over Darren Steward at UFC Vegas 35 on Saturday. Stewart is 5-4 with a no-contest in his last 10 fights since 2018, with all 4 losses coming by way of stoppage.
Meanwhile, Dustin Jacoby is 3-0-1 since making his UFC return via Dana White’s Contender Series last year. Along with his MMA career, Jacoby is a professional kick-boxer and boxer, competing in both disciplines before making his return to the UFC, after struggling to find competition during the pandemic.
If you’re backing Darren Stewart in this spot, your best bet is to take the Englishman on the outright moneyline. Meanwhile, Dustin Jacoby backers should be hesitant to back any ‘TKO’ or ‘Inside the Distance’ props against Darren Stewart. Stewart has gone the distance in 6 of his last 9 contested bouts, while Jacoby has just one stoppage victory to his name in his previous 5 fights.
UFC Vegas 35 Best Bets
UFC 265 Free Picks
|2% (0.8u)||diChirico/AlHassan (Fight Goes Distance: No)||-137||WilliamHill|
|1.5% (0.6u)||Barboza/Chikadze (Fight Goes Distance)||+125||BetOnline|
|1.5% (0.6u)||Muradov/Meerschaert (Under 1.5 Rounds)||+108||FanDuel|
|1.3% (0.52u)||Vanessa Demopolous (to Win Fight)||+315||5Dimes|
|1% (0.4u)||Barboza/Chikadoze (Over 3.5 Rounds)||-135||5Dimes|
|1% (0.4u)||Battle/Urbina (Fight Goes Distance)||-115||Unibet|
|1% (0.4u)||Battle/Urbina (Over 2.5 Rounds)||-137||5Dimes|
|1% (0.4u)||Turcois/Hiestand (Under 2.5 Rounds)||+160||5Dimes|
|1% (0.4u)||Gerald Meerschaert (to Win Fight)||+450||5Dimes|
|1% (0.4u)||Petroski/Gillmore (Over 1.5 Rounds)||+122||5Dimes|
|1% (0.4u)||Alvey/Turman (Under 2.5 Rounds)||-110||WilliamHill|
|1% (0.4u)||Aldrich/Demopolous (Under 2.5 Rounds)||+280||FanDuel|
|1% (0.4u)||Pat Sabatini (to Win Fight)||+130||CoolBet|
|1% (0.4u)||Martinez/Cannetti (Over 1.5 Rounds)||+105||BetOnline|
@AlMacOdds MMA Record Since 2020: 813-772, +10.68u Verified via BetMMA.tips
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